The HECM reverse mortgage program has been bleeding
red ink. Losses on transactions in which the loan balance at
termination exceeds the net recoverable property value have
been larger than the insurance premiums FHA collects from
all HECM borrowers. According to news reports, the new FHA
Commissioner, Brian Montgomery, is considering measures that
would reduce the amounts that seniors could draw on reverse
mortgages. Smaller draws would result in slower growth in
loan balances, and other things the same, in reduced losses
to FHA.
Other things are not the
same, however. Reduced draw amounts would make the program
less attractive to potential new borrowers, especially to
the type of borrowers needed to make the program
self-sustaining. FHA needs to take another look at what
needs to be done.
Adverse
Selection
Adverse selection is the bane of
insurers and FHA is no exception. HECM borrowers are not a
cross-section of senior homeowners. A large proportion of
HECM borrowers are financially desperate, a HECM is their
last resort and they draw the maximum amounts permitted.
Equity retention is not an objective and they are not
scrupulous in maintaining their property.
In contrast to the “desperates”,
there is a much larger group whose lives could be enriched
by a HECM, for which purpose they would not necessarily need
to draw the maximum amounts permitted. If they did take a
HECM, many would retain some equity for their heirs, an
objective that protects FHA against loss. For these “solid
seniors”, the HECM is optional but very few exercise the
option. HUD’s objective should be to attract more of them.
I have three suggestions for
accomplishing this, listed below in order of complexity: the
first two are considered in this article, the third in a
forthcoming article.
Provide a Basic HECM
Education Function on HECM Draw Potential.
Encourage Conversion
of the Existing Dysfunctional HECM Market Into a
Shoppers Market by Certifying HECM Multi-Lender Networks
(MLNs).
Encourage Integration
of the HECM into Retirement Strategies.
Basic Education on HECM Draw
Potential
This is directed to the large group of senior
homeowners who could profit from a HECM reverse mortgage but
under existing circumstances are not motivated to pursue it.
They might pursue it if information about how a HECM might
help them was readily available from a highly visible and
completely trustworthy source. That source could be HUD’s
web site.
I have already done the work for HUD. My site
contains a series of tables on HECM draw amounts of
different types, which are updated whenever HECM prices
change. The tables are directed at four major ways that a
HECM reverse mortgage can help seniors:
Table 1 is directed at
those who are still making payments on a standard
mortgage, showing how large a balance they can pay off
with a HECM reverse mortgage.
Table 2 is directed at
those who need to supplement their income, showing the
monthly payment they can draw for as long as they live
in their home, or for shorter periods.
Table 3 is directed at
those who want to prepare themselves for future
contingencies or opportunities, showing the credit line
available to them at closing, after 12 months, and after
10 years.
Table 4 is directed at
those who want to buy a house without incurring a
monthly payment, showing the amount they can draw for
that purpose from a HECM, and the amount required from
other sources.
I would be happy to place these
tables on the HUD site, and support them without charge.
Convert the
HECM Market Into a Shoppers Market by Certifying MLNs
The existing market for HECMs can
best be described as a “gotcha” market in which distrust is
a major by-product. The objective of HECM loan providers is
to attract potential borrowers into making contact, then
collecting the information needed to entangle them in a
process that encourages them to take a HECM but discourages
them from looking elsewhere. Prices are disclosed only after
a senior discloses the property address, their email address
and in some cases their social security number. As a result,
very few prospective HECM borrowers contact more than one
lender.
A HECM MLN is an independent
entity that will help seniors make the best decision among
HECM options, and obtain the best deal offered by multiple
lenders on that option, at a single source. Seniors select
the lender they want to deal with from among those
participating in the MLN, based on information provided by
the MLN. MLNs would replace the gotcha market with a
shoppers market.
MLNs would be certified as
providing the following functions:
1.
Compilation of Price Data From
Multiple Lenders: The MLN should maintain a
relationship with enough lenders that it can offer at least
three independent price quotes in every state. This can be
done with three national lenders that operate in every
state, or with a larger number of lenders that have limited
geographical coverage.
2.
Provision of Draw Amount Trade-off
Technology: The MLN should provide an
easy-to-use tool that allows a senior with no prior HECM
knowledge to define the HECM draw option or options that
they want. The tool must allow the senior to try out
different combinations of draw options to find the preferred
combination.
3.
Provision of Decision Metrics:
The MLN should provide data on the particular metrics that
are relevant to each senior’s selection of a lender. The
required metrics are:
Maximum cash draw at
closing.
Maximum sum of cash
draw at closing and after 12 months.
Maximum initial credit
line.
Maximum credit line
after X years where the borrower sets X.
Maximum monthly
payment for as long as the borrower resides in the
house.
Maximum monthly
payment over Y years where the borrower sets Y.
Minimum debt after Z
years where the borrower sets Z.
Back in the 90s, HUD toyed with
the concept of a Computerized Loan Origination network or
CLO in connection with standard mortgages. Nothing ever came
of it, perhaps because the need was less then compelling. I
changed the name from CLO to MLN because HECMs are very
different and the need for what a network can provide is
more than compelling.